OSLO: The World Well being Group is the bookies’ favorite to win the Nobel Peace Prize on Friday, although specialists say Greta Thunberg or press freedom teams are additionally robust contenders.
The peace prize — the spotlight of the Nobel season and the one one of many six Nobels awarded in Oslo — all the time sparks wild guessing video games, rendered particularly difficult by the truth that the record of nominees is saved secret for no less than 50 years.
Solely their quantity is thought: this yr there are 318 nominees, together with 211 people and 107 organisations, in response to the Nobel Institute.
That leaves a lot to the creativeness of specialists.
“Within the absence of a really clear front-runner… I believe that we may and will see a prize to both an umbrella organisation for journalists or particular person journalists working within the subject,” advised Henrik Urdal, the director of the Peace Analysis Institute of Oslo.
“Throughout conflicts, it is extraordinarily necessary that journalists contribute to offer details about what’s taking place, each to be able to maintain the battle events accountable for his or her actions in addition to offering info to the surface world that enables governments a chance to evaluate the state of affairs and doable measures,” he defined.
Each Reporters With out Borders, recognized by its French acronym RSF, and the US-based Committee to Defend Journalists have been talked about as prospects.
Teenage local weather activist Greta Thunberg can also be a reputation on specialists’ lips, both alone or with different activists.
She was favorite to win the prize final yr, when it went to Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed for serving to to finish a 20-year postwar stalemate with Eritrea.
Nobel historian Asle Sveen stated that whereas RSF was his first alternative, Greta, as she is just recognized, was “a doable candidate, completely”.
Greta can be the second-youngest laureate within the Nobel Prizes’ virtually 120-year historical past, after the Pakistani advocate for women’ schooling Malala Yousafzai.
“Even if in case you have this pandemic proper now, local weather change is in the long run far more severe,” Sveen famous.
In the meantime, the brand new coronavirus pandemic has pushed the World Well being Organisation (WHO) to the highest of on-line betting websites, simply forward of Greta.
That might be a means for the five-member Norwegian Nobel Committee to honour the UN company’s multilateral strategy to the virus.
However the WHO has additionally been sharply criticised for its gradual response, whereas Donald Trump has accused it of yielding to Chinese language affect.
It is also not recognized whether or not the WHO was nominated in time. The brand new coronavirus was outlined as a pandemic on March 11 — whereas the deadline for peace prize nominations was January 31, and Nobel committee members can solely add their very own ideas at their first assembly of the yr in February.
Different names making the rounds in Oslo embrace German non-governmental organisation Transparency Worldwide, the World Meals Programme (WFP), the UN and its secretary normal Antonio Guterres, German Chancellor Angela Merkel and Afghan politician and ladies’s rights activist Fawzia Koofi.
These eligible to appoint candidates for the prize are additionally allowed to reveal their alternative.
In consequence, these believed to be on the record embrace the folks of Hong Kong, NATO, indigenous Brazilian chief and environmentalist Raoni Metuktire, the whistleblower trio of Julian Assange, Edward Snowden and Chelsea Manning, in addition to Greece’s ex-prime minister Alexis Tsipras and his Macedonian counterpart Zoran Zaev.
Whoever wins, Covid-19 will influence the prize this yr.
Relying on the corona restrictions in place on the time, it will likely be awarded on December 10 both in-person at a scaled-back ceremony in Oslo, or remotely in a web based ceremony.
Whereas Trump has been nominated by two Scandinavian MPs, it’s not recognized whether or not he’s a candidate this yr.
Trump appears to revel within the thought of being a Nobel laureate, given the variety of tweets he has written concerning the risk.
However specialists do not assume that can occur.
“Trump is extra prone to get the Nobel prize in literature for his tweets than to get the Nobel Peace Prize,” stated Urdal.
“And that is not as a result of he’s Donald Trump, that is as a result of he hasn’t performed something that’s deserving of the prize.”

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