Monsoon in the country this year will be “normal”, the government said today in its forecast of the four-month rainfall season in the country.
In an online briefing, Ministry of Earth Sciences Secretary M Rajeevan said the Long Period Average of monsoon will be 98 per cent which falls in the “normal” category.
The southwest monsoon season, that replenishes the country’s farm-dependent economy, first hits the southern tip of Kerala usually in the first week of June and retreats from Rajasthan by September. The monsoon hit the Kerala coast last year on June 1, as expected.
India defines average, or normal, rainfall as between 96 per cent and 104 per cent of a 50-year average or Long Period Average of 89 centimetres for the entire four-month season.
“Monsoon will be 98 per cent of the LPA which is normal rainfall. It is really good news for the country and will help India have a good agriculture output,” Mr Rajeevan said.
Private forecaster Skymet too had predicted a normal monsoon this year, with a long-term average 103 per cent.
Last September, the weather department had said the country received “above normal” monsoon last year. This was the second highest precipitation in the last 30 years.
The monsoon forecast for this year raises hopes of higher farm and economic growth amid the second wave of the pandemic in the country which is seeing a huge rise in COVID-19 cases. A good season has a direct impact on the economy as agriculture remains a major contributor to the country’s GDP (Gross Domestic Product).